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Pollwatch 2014 – tracking opinion polls on the European elections

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In the lead up to the 2014 European Parliament elections, Burson-Marsteller / Europe Decides joined forces with Votewatch Europe to launch Pollwatch 2014, a project that analysed opinion polls to forecast the composition of the European Parliament.

On this page you will find videos I produced of the launch event and a series of blogposts I wrote on the updates to the forecasts.


19 February 2014:

Launch event videos

PollWatch 2014: first predictions put Socialists in the lead


5 March 2014:

PollWatch 2014: Socialists still in front, but lead cut


19 March 2014:

PollWatch 2014: Socialists and EPP neck-and-neck in latest prediction


2 April 2014:

PollWatch 2014: a dead heat between Left and Right as campaign hots up


16 April 2014:

PollWatch 2014: EPP ahead for first time with five weeks to go


23 April 2014:

PollWatch 2014: EPP maintains lead as campaign enters final month


30 April 2014:

PollWatch 2014: EPP lead over Socialists narrows in latest polls


7 May 2014:

PollWatch 2014: EPP extends lead as smaller groups scramble for seats


14 May 2014:

PollWatch 2014: gap at top narrows while Greens drop to seventh


20 May 2014:

PollWatch 2014: EPP to remain largest party in new European Parliament

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